Whether by my own voice or by the voice of my servants, it is the same.

"There is a portent of stormy weather ahead."
President Gordon B. Hinckley 1998

Friday, January 30, 2009

- The Lord works by natural means











(Excerpts from recent headlined articles)

California
Worst drought ever expected after mild January

Friday, January 30, 2009

California teeters on the edge of the worst drought in the state's history, officials said Thursday after reporting that the Sierra Nevada snowpack - the backbone of the state's water supply - is only 61 percent of normal.

January usually douses California with about 20 percent of the state's annual precipitation, but instead it delivered a string of dry, sunny days this year, almost certainly pushing the state into a third year of drought.




Cold, dark nights ahead in wake of deadly ice storm

More than a million households remain without power after snow and ice slammed the country from Texas to Maine, disrupting hundreds of flights and forcing Kentucky state troopers to use four-wheelers to find stranded residents.

Warmer weather Thursday was proving to be both a blessing and a curse, as sections of eastern Oklahoma and northern Arkansas began the grueling process of recovering from the latest ice storm.




Alaskans brace for Redoubt Volcano eruption

ANCHORAGE, Alaska (AP) — Hardware stores and auto parts shops scored a post-holiday run of business this week as Anchorage-area residents stocked up on protective eyewear and masks ahead of a possible eruption of Mount Redoubt.




World’s Glaciers Shrink for 18th Year in Alps, Andes

By Jeremy van Loon


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601124&sid=ajCBthQzAiU4&refer=home#

Jan. 29 (Bloomberg) -- Glaciers from the Andes to Alaska and across the Alps shrank as much as 3 meters (10 feet), the 18th year of retreat and twice as fast as a decade ago, as global warming threatens an important supply of the world’s water.




President George Q. Cannon

The Lord works in the midst of this people by natural means, and the greatest events that have been spoken of by the holy Prophets will come along so naturally as the consequence of certain causes that unless our eyes are enlightened by the Spirit of God and the spirit of revelation rests upon us, we will fail to see that these are the events predicted by the holy Prophets …

They will come along in so natural a manner, the Lord will bring them to pass in such a way that they will not be accepted by the people, except by those who can comprehend the truth, as the fulfillment of the predictions of the Prophets. It requires the Spirit of God to enable men and women to understand the things of God; it requires the Spirit of God to enable the people to comprehend the work of God and to perceive His movements and providences among the children of men. The man who is destitute of the Spirit of God cannot comprehend the work of God.

- Nov. 2, 1879, Journal of Discourses 21:266-7 -
(Emphasis added)





Wednesday, January 28, 2009

- Ashes, ashes, we all fall down . . .





Abraham Lincoln

No duty is more imperative on the government than the duty it
owes the people of furnishing them a sound and uniform currency.


Speech at Springfield, Ill.
December 20,1839





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From the Wall Street Journal Online

A 40-Year Wish List

You won't believe what's in that stimulus bill.

"Never let a serious crisis go to waste. What I mean by that is it's an opportunity to do things you couldn't do before."

So said White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel in November, and Democrats in Congress are certainly taking his advice to heart. The 647-page, $825 billion House legislation is being sold as an economic "stimulus," but now that Democrats have finally released the details we understand Rahm's point much better. This is a political wonder that manages to spend money on just about every pent-up Democratic proposal of the last 40 years.

We've looked it over, and even we can't quite believe it. There's $1 billion for Amtrak, the federal railroad that hasn't turned a profit in 40 years; $2 billion for child-care subsidies; $50 million for that great engine of job creation, the National Endowment for the Arts; $400 million for global-warming research and another $2.4 billion for carbon-capture demonstration projects. There's even $650 million on top of the billions already doled out to pay for digital TV conversion coupons.

In selling the plan, President Obama has said this bill will make "dramatic investments to revive our flagging economy." Well, you be the judge. Some $30 billion, or less than 5% of the spending in the bill, is for fixing bridges or other highway projects. There's another $40 billion for broadband and electric grid development, airports and clean water projects that are arguably worthwhile priorities.

Add the roughly $20 billion for business tax cuts, and by our estimate only $90 billion out of $825 billion, or about 12 cents of every $1, is for something that can plausibly be considered a growth stimulus. And even many of these projects aren't likely to help the economy immediately. As Peter Orszag, the President's new budget director, told Congress a year ago, "even those [public works] that are 'on the shelf' generally cannot be undertaken quickly enough to provide timely stimulus to the economy."

[Review & Outlook]

Most of the rest of this project spending will go to such things as renewable energy funding ($8 billion) or mass transit ($6 billion) that have a low or negative return on investment. Most urban transit systems are so badly managed that their fares cover less than half of their costs. However, the people who operate these systems belong to public-employee unions that are campaign contributors to . . . guess which party?

Here's another lu-lu: Congress wants to spend $600 million more for the federal government to buy new cars. Uncle Sam already spends $3 billion a year on its fleet of 600,000 vehicles. Congress also wants to spend $7 billion for modernizing federal buildings and facilities. The Smithsonian is targeted to receive $150 million; we love the Smithsonian, too, but this is a job creator?

Another "stimulus" secret is that some $252 billion is for income-transfer payments -- that is, not investments that arguably help everyone, but cash or benefits to individuals for doing nothing at all. There's $81 billion for Medicaid, $36 billion for expanded unemployment benefits, $20 billion for food stamps, and $83 billion for the earned income credit for people who don't pay income tax. While some of that may be justified to help poorer Americans ride out the recession, they aren't job creators.

As for the promise of accountability, some $54 billion will go to federal programs that the Office of Management and Budget or the Government Accountability Office have already criticized as "ineffective" or unable to pass basic financial audits. These include the Economic Development Administration, the Small Business Administration, the 10 federal job training programs, and many more.

Oh, and don't forget education, which would get $66 billion more. That's more than the entire Education Department spent a mere 10 years ago and is on top of the doubling under President Bush. Some $6 billion of this will subsidize university building projects. If you think the intention here is to help kids learn, the House declares on page 257 that "No recipient . . . shall use such funds to provide financial assistance to students to attend private elementary or secondary schools." Horrors: Some money might go to nonunion teachers.

The larger fiscal issue here is whether this spending bonanza will become part of the annual "budget baseline" that Congress uses as the new floor when calculating how much to increase spending the following year, and into the future. Democrats insist that it will not. But it's hard -- no, impossible -- to believe that Congress will cut spending next year on any of these programs from their new, higher levels. The likelihood is that this allegedly emergency spending will become a permanent addition to federal outlays -- increasing pressure for tax increases in the bargain. Any Blue Dog Democrat who votes for this ought to turn in his "deficit hawk" credentials.

This is supposed to be a new era of bipartisanship, but this bill was written based on the wish list of every living -- or dead -- Democratic interest group. As Speaker Nancy Pelosi put it, "We won the election. We wrote the bill." So they did. Republicans should let them take all of the credit.




The Entitlement Stimulus

More giant steps toward government health care.


The more we dig into the pile of spending and tax favors known as the "stimulus bill," the more amazing discoveries we make. Namely, Democrats have apparently decided that the way to gun the economy is to spend even more on health care.

This is notable because if there has been one truly bipartisan idea in Washington, it's that the U.S. as a whole spends too much on health care. President Obama has been talking up entitlement reform as a way to free up the money for his other social priorities. But it turns out that Congress is using the stimulus as cover for a massive expansion of federal entitlements.

Only the bill's $20 billion or so devoted to electronic health records can be reasonably called an investment. More typical is the $87 billion that will go to Medicaid, which -- silly us -- we underestimated by about $6 billion in our stimulus editorial yesterday. This pot of money will be used to blow out the federal matching rate by 4.9 percentage points across the board. Medicaid is nominally a joint state-federal program, but the feds pick up 57% of the Medicaid bill on average and are willing to go as high as 82% in some states. In other words, Democrats want to bail out the states that make unaffordable health-care promises and haven't tried to control costs. This latest rescue will give Governors more incentive to do so, given that the more they spend, the more Congress pays.

National taxpayers will also fund a new program allowing some laid-off workers receiving unemployment checks to enroll in Medicaid. For the first time ever on a large scale, the federal government will pay 100% of the costs they incur, and states are explicitly prohibited from means-testing this benefit. Supposedly the $11 billion plan will expire in 2010, but the word "temporary" does not exist in the entitlement world -- and Democrats will fight furiously to extend these benefits before they sunset.

Another damaging inspiration is the plan to throw $30.3 billion at Cobra insurance plans. The unemployed are currently allowed to keep their work health benefits for 18 or 36 months since 1986. While they search for a new job, they must pay 102% of the full insurance premium, including the employer's share. But Democrats now plan to subsidize these plans to the tune of 65%.

Are they making Cobra a new entitlement? Cobra was never intended as an option to assist the long-term unemployed -- considering that adverse selection means Cobra enrollees cost businesses about 145% as much as covered employees. Since Democrats want to boost participation by propping up Cobra use, that will result in less capital to invest in new jobs in the middle of a recession. It will also mean adding another disincentive (in addition to unemployment insurance) to get a new job. When you subsidize people not to work, you get more nonworkers.

Not for nothing did Democratic heath-care commissar Pete Stark tell the New York Times that "We accomplished more today than in the last eight years" after his committee approved the Medicaid and Cobra pieces of the stimulus. In one swoop Democrats will make employer-sponsored health care even more expensive and expand opportunities for an anxious public to join, or remain on, the welfare rolls. The pretext of "stimulus" is being leveraged to capture ever more of the private health-care market and transfer those costs onto government.

But don't forget that everyone agrees that health spending is already too high. So the stimulus also devotes $1.1 billion to create a new bureaucracy called the Federal Coordinating Council for Comparative Effectiveness Research. A billion dollars isn't nearly enough to conduct the rigorous clinical studies needed to provide more information on what medical treatments result in the best outcomes. But Democrats want to get this "health-care Fed" on the books now so it's around when they pass the next entitlement expansion -- for the entire middle class.

When government finances start to buckle under that subsidy, the comparative effectiveness outfit will start to ration care to control costs, much like the United Kingdom's National Institute for Clinical Excellence (NICE). The draft report accompanying the House portion of the bill notes that procedures and drugs "that are found to be less effective and in some cases, more expensive, will no longer be prescribed."

In sum, what we are really getting in this stimulus bill are several more steps in the gradual government takeover of the health-care market.







President Gordon B. Hinckley


“Self-reliance cannot obtain when there is serious debt hanging over a household. One has neither independence nor freedom from bondage when he is obligated to others.”

“So many of our people are living on the very edge of their incomes. In fact, some are living on borrowings. … I am troubled by the huge consumer debt which hangs over the people.”

“Look to the condition of your finances. I urge you to be modest in your expenditures; discipline yourselves in your purchases to avoid debt to the extent possible.”

Excerpts from “To the Boys and to the Men,” Ensign, November 1998




Monday, January 26, 2009

- Hold to the Rod




Hold to the rod, the iron rod;
'Tis strong, and bright, and true.
The iron rod is the word of God;
'Twill safely guide us through.

-Joseph L. Townsend, The Iron Rod, LDS Hymns, no. 274



As we walk the road of life, we tend to collect things that make us feel safer and more sure of ourselves. These may be material possessions, titles or responsibilities, but in the end they amount to the same thing: a fleeting and superficial sense of security. It is only by holding fast to our beliefs that we can navigate life with any confidence.

The character in Hold to the Rod by James Christensen finds himself so burdened with the mundane objects he has collected that, while he hopefully eyes the rod, he cannot reach up to hold it for fear of losing something else. The man has become little more than a vehicle for his adornments. He demonstrates that what is truly important is keeping sight of our true belief and faith, that they alone will guide us through.




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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jTVECvTYpN0




Elder Neal A. Maxwell

Thus what I have said is not said to alarm at all, but, rather, so that we might be noticing and preparing.

-
Ensign, May 1988, p. 8 -

Friday, January 23, 2009

- You have questions? She has answers!








You have questions?
She has answers!

Recently the following YouTube videos came to my attention. These videos are made by a woman who has long-time experience with food storage and dehydrating foods. She has a sense of 'mission' about her and is putting these videos out there based on her belief this knowledge can make a positive difference for others during upcoming difficult financial times.


When you watch the first video, at the end of it you will see a link at the top of the screen that will take you immediately to the next video; be prepared to click the link when it appears. These connecting links are at the end of each video.

Here on the blog, below the video screen, are direct links to each of the separate videos in case you want to go back and review specific parts later.

Also, by following the link to her videos you'll find a place there where you can subscribe to her YouTube videos to be alerted when she puts new videos out. If you find her videos helpful you'll probably want to subscribe for future announcements.

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Here are the links to each of the videos Parts 1 - 5:


How to dehydrate and store food PART 1
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QxVpI...eature=related

This is part 1 of a 5 part series on dehydrating. Watch for more videos to come on important topics like canning, and dehydrating fruits.

Video Breakdown:
-What type of dehydrator to buy (0:28)
-Ginger (1:24)
-Broccoli (1:49)
-Potatoes (2:21)
-Pre-treating and blanching potatoes (2:41)
-Sweet Potatoes (4:09)
-Lemons (4:55)
-Oranges (5:07)
-Zucchini and summer squash (5:20)
-Carrots (5:55)
-pre-treating w/ Lemon juice v. absorbic acid v. honey (6:26)
-Peppers (7:56)
-Spinach (9:05)


How to dehydrate and store food PART 2
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KSK0o...264&feature=iv

This is part 2 of a 5 part series on dehydrating. Watch for more videos to come on important topics like canning, and dehydrating fruits.

Video Breakdown-
-Eggplant (0:00)
-How long dehydrated foods last (0:44)
-Make sure foods are 95% or more dehydrated (1:02)
-Dont use salt (2:13)
-Peeling an apple really fast (2:38)
-Apple pie slices (3:12)
-Diced apple (3:32)
-Bananas (4:04)
-What not to spray w/ lemon juice (4:36)
-Hygiene is important! (5:02)
-Always handle w/ gloves (5:58)
-Corn (6:13)
-Careful how much you cook with (7:53)
-Keep similar foods together! (8:26)


How to dehydrate and store food PART 3
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yoy-3...633&feature=iv


How to dehydrate and store food PART 4
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SaiHT...400&feature=iv

How to dehydrate and store food PART 5
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pd7kE...168&feature=iv






Be Not Afraid




Elder Henry B. Eyring


The Lord is anxious to lead us to the safety of higher ground, away from the path of physical and spiritual danger. His upward path will require us to climb. My mother used to say to me when I complained that things were hard, “If you are on the right path, it will always be uphill.” And as the world becomes darker and more dangerous, we must keep climbing. It will be our choice whether or not to move up or to stay where we are. But the Lord will invite and guide us upward by the direction of the Holy Ghost, which He sends to His leaders and to His people who will receive it.

- Raise the Bar, BYU-Idaho Devotional, January 25, 2005 -


Tuesday, January 20, 2009

- Stone Soup & Food Storing Hints



Handy tips on using a Foodsaver


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Food lessons from the Great Depression


Today, learning how to cook on a budget is becoming important to more families. In the 1930s, making do was a kitchen art, honed by necessity. Sour grass soup, anyone?



By Mary MacVean


When she was a kid, for a treat Pat Box and her seven siblings got "water cocoa," which is pretty much what it sounds like and nothing special today. But that was in the 1930s, when her father's business was reselling bakers' barrels to coopers, and the family would get first crack at them, scraping the wood for any traces of sugar or cocoa left behind.


With luck, they'd also have rye bread and fresh butter they'd buy on Brooklyn Avenue.


"It was wonderful," said Box, 87, one afternoon while she gathered with friends at the Claude Pepper Senior Center on La Cienega Boulevard, just north of the 10 Freeway.

At a time when Americans face frightening and disorienting economic uncertainty, the Great Depression provides valuable lessons. For many people, putting a meal on the table without turning to processed or takeout foods is no longer something just for a weekend dinner party but a skill they must learn. People who remember what it was like to eat during the Depression talk about thrift, growing their own, sharing with neighbors and learning to cope with what they had.


Box grew up in Boyle Heights in a time of desperate need, but no one went hungry at her family's house, though it took work and ingenuity.


Her mother baked bread and made kreplach. Her father turned flour sacks into towels to sell, and her aunt sold chickens. "You'd stick your hand in, feel for fat around the stomach" and make your choice. Her mother made pillows with the feathers.


It was a time when leftovers were planned. A roast chicken -- for Jewish Shabbat or Sunday dinner -- lasted for days, as chicken with rice, chicken and dumplings, pot pie, stew or soup or salad. Women used the wrappers on margarine to butter baking pans. People ate what they could grow or kill or find.


Be honest, now: Can anybody in your house skin a rabbit?


Know what to do with milkweed pods? (Boil them and top with grated cheese.) Get your kids to eat sour grass soup? Those recipes, from "Dining During the Depression," a collection of recipes edited by Karen Thibodeau, are unlikely to find their way into kitchens today, despite the state of the economy.


But in the 1930s, making do was a kitchen art, honed by necessity.

"In the times when the economy is really bad, it becomes an even more important question of how you're going to put food on the table for your family," says Kelly Alexander, co-author of "Hometown Appetites," a biography of the pioneering newspaper food columnist Clementine Paddleford.

"If you want to save money, you're going to have to learn to cook," Alexander says.


She says she recently saw a pot pie recipe that called for precooked pieces of chicken, a premade crust and vegetables from a salad bar -- essentially directions for assembling, not cooking. So by appealing to people who are too busy to cook or unwilling to learn, a modern version of a dish invented to make leftovers appealing becomes a collection of expensive ingredients.


Many Americans never learned to cook as they grew up, and they rely on takeout or packaged food, but dinner was a very different experience during the Depression.


Mix 'n' match soup


"We ate a lot of mashed potatoes, and I'm still hung up on mashed potatoes," says Rosalyn Weinstein, 79, pointing to an uneaten scoop on her plate. Though she does not cook much these days, she says she still makes "mix 'n' match" soup from whatever is on hand.


"Cooking is becoming a lost art," she says. "I've never been a takeout person. And I've never been a fast food person.
"

Joe Bagley, 81, who moved to Los Angeles during World War II, was born in Texas and raised for a time on a farm. "We were never wanting for food, but you had to raise your own," he says, adding that his family saw plenty of hungry people wandering in search of work. They'd stop at the farm, and Bagley recalls that he'd be sent inside to get whatever was there to feed them.


Though the country is not in a depression today, signs of tough times are all around.


The market is in shreds, food is pricier. A spokesman for Ralphs and Food 4 Less says more people are turning to house brands, and Albertsons has seen more sales of "stretcher" products such as Hamburger Helper, a spokeswoman says.


Food pantries around Los Angeles are worried about having enough to hand out, and restaurant tables are empty. Even Gourmet magazine offered in a recent e-mail newsletter some "recession special" recipes, including a potato gratin adapted from an Edna Lewis recipe.


A few generations ago cooking was a family affair, with children sent to pick food from the garden or shell peas. With SAT prep classes or soccer or ballet, many families are lucky to get their kids to the dinner table at all.


Gretchen Sterling, who has managed the Villa Park farmers market in Pasadena for 28 years, recalls that her mother, the daughter of a Minnesota butcher, made soap from lye and bacon fat, and canned her own meat. Getting what you needed rarely meant going shopping; do-it-yourself was not a hobby centered on a Home Depot. "Now kids don't even know that carrots grow underground," she says.


Cooking everything that came their way was a way of life for Hattie Adkins' family. She was just a girl in the '30s, when her family lived on a farm in Raeford, N.C., but her memories are strong. Her family and those around them ate what was ripe and ready, never thinking of themselves as "locavores," just taking advantage of what was cheapest and best-tasting.


Winter stores


"When it came time to harvest the corn, we had all the corn we could eat," Adkins, 76, recalled one recent afternoon, sitting in her Long Beach apartment building.


Potatoes, beans, cabbage, peaches -- all plentiful and put up for the winter. After they ate watermelons, they pickled the rinds. When a hog was killed, she says, the meat was put into a wooden box and covered with salt, eventually to become ham.


Adkins says she also could catch a rabbit in the woods. "Apples today don't have a good smell. Back then if you set a trap and rub the peels on the trap, the rabbit would come on in.


"Anybody in the neighborhood who didn't have, always had when they came to our house," she says. "We had enough food to feed a lot of people."


These days, she eats simply, usually using inexpensive ingredients. She'll saute an onion, add a little flour to brown it, pour in canned potatoes and green beans -- juice and all -- sprinkle on some rice and let it simmer.


City food, not farm food. But one thing hasn't changed: She often feeds neighbors.


President Spencer W. Kimball

We speak not by way of alarm but by way of gentle counsel. Let us go back to the basics and follow the fundamentals. Thus we will experience a spiritual resurgence in our lives which will help us through these tempestuous time.

- Ensign, May 1981, p 80 -




Saturday, January 17, 2009

- China's warning shot across the United States' bow





As Others See Us


http://www.therichterreport.com/content.php?id=213&menu_id=1&menu_item_id=0

(All emphasis is in original article except for my red highlighted text)


The reckless expansion of credit and debt has been at the heart of all great depressions throughout history.
However, our American politicians and "mainstream" economists believe that debt-spending is the key to economic recovery. That is why the perspective of outside observers can be very helpful.

A recent article published in the China Business News sent yet another warning shot in the direction of the United States. The article would not have seen the light of day had it not been approved for publication by the Chinese government. The author, Xiang Songruo, a professor at Central China University, said that America must "repay its debts" and "lead a more frugal life." In the event that the United States asked China to buy more of its debts, the professor suggested that China should demand the following conditions:

1) The U.S. should cancel the limits on high-tech exports to China and allow China to acquire advanced technology and high-tech companies from the U.S; 2) The U.S. needs to open its financial system to Chinese financial institutions, allowing all Chinese firms to open branches and develop business in the U.S.; 3) The U.S. should not prevent Europe from cancelling the ban against selling weapons to China; 4) The U.S. should stop selling military weapons to Taiwan; 5) The U.S. should loosen its limits on numbers of Chinese tourists and allow them to travel freely in the U.S.; and, 6) The U.S. should never restrain China's exports to the U.S. and force renminbi appreciation in the name of domestic protectionism and employment.

And if we don't do what China wants us to do? "Then China's choice is quite simple: rationally adjust the structure of its foreign currency reserve assets and avoid the risk of U.S. national debt according to market rules." Translation? You people are broke. We are going to make the rules from now on. If you don't do what we want, we will dump all our US dollar foreign currency reserves and crash your economy even worse than it has already crashed.

Isvestia, a Russian newspaper, recently published an interview with Igor Panarin, a political analyst. He stated that the current financial crisis might cause the United States to cease to exist in its present form. He said,"The dollar isn't secured by anything. The country's foreign debt has grown like an avalanche. This is a pyramid, which has to collapse." He also commented that the American voters are hoping that President Barack Obama can "...work miracles, but when the spring comes, it will be clear that there are no miracles."

In November, another Russian publication, Komsomolskaya Pravda, published an interview with Mikhail Khazin, a prominent Russian economist. A number of years ago, Mr. Khazin wrote a book entitled, " Sunset of the Dollar Empire and the End of the Pax Americana." At the time the book was published in 2003, most mainstream economists and financial writers would have scoffed at the title of the book. These days, it is no longer a laughing matter.

During the 1990s, Mr. Khazin worked in the Presidential Economic Unit of the Boris Yeltsin administration. In 1997, he had predicted in a written report that the Russian economy was going to face an economic collapse at some point in 1998. He recommended that the Yeltsin administration change its policies. His report got him fired. The Russian collapse came in 1998. In his recent interview, Mr. Khazin was quoted as follows:

"After becoming seriously consumed in our studies of the U.S. financial system, we found an unprecedented parallel. Just as our T-bill market had sucked all the juices out of the Russian economy, the U.S. financial market was sucking the resources out of the entire planet. We realized a similar fate awaited the U.S. financial system. Our article was published in the summer of 2000 in the "Ekspert" magazine, titled, "Is the U.S. Digging for an Apocalypse." We concluded that it was just as impossible to avoid an economic crisis in the U.S. as the financial collapse in Russia."

Mr. Khazin went on to say that the problem lies in the fact that, since the 1970s, the United States has attempted to issue new currency in an effort to stimulate aggregate demand. In other words, the U.S. has switched on the printing press. Here are more excerpts from Mr. Khazin's interview:

"In the early 1980s, they [the United States] started to stimulate demand through state support. For example, they launched the "Star Wars" program. As of 1983, they placed an emphasis on the household economies....For an entire quarter century, households received funds as a result of issuing new currency in larger and larger quantities. The U.S. was able to make the next step in technological progress as a result of this excess demand. They accomplished the collapse of the USSR and numerous other significant fears. But... The boom took place thanks to resources that were supposed to provide for future growth. The country ate its own resources two generations ahead of time. The U.S. built up tremendous debt. This is clearly seen if we compare the growth of debt in U.S. households with the entire U.S. debt and GDP. The economy is growing at an annual rate of 2-3, or at a maximum 4 percent. But debt is increasing at a rate of 8-10 percent.

The U.S. did create a very high standard of living by stimulating consumer demand. Generations lived without having to experience poverty. But it's impossible to live forever in debt. Household debt has now surpassed the national economy — more than $14 trillion. Now it's time to pay up. Of course, Wall Street tried to postpone this collapse. I won't go into detail about derivatives and other such financial assets, but this was just a gasp for air before an inevitable death.

Another problem in the U.S. is that powerful industries were built around this growing demand. Whatever decision Wall Street takes right now, the demand is going to fall. What will happen to these industries? In 2000, we estimated that 25 percent of the U.S. economy would disappear. Today, we think the number is closest to one-third — if not more...But what exactly does this mean — the destruction of one-fourth of the U.S. economy? It means an uncontrollable increase in unemployment, a horrible depression, a sharp increase in the effect of social services on the budget... Now, the U.S. is jumping all over the place doing everything its can to rescue this fraction of the economy. The government is stimulating banks and manufacturing... But regardless, in 2-3 years, the U.S. will face a crisis similar to the Great Depression."

Sobering words, to be sure. However, there is nothing in Mr. Khazin's interview which is new to anyone who is remotely familiar with the concepts of Austrian economics. Readers of this newsletter know that I have frequently cited the words of Ludwig von Mises, the greatest Austrian economist of the 20th Century:

"There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as a result of a voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved." Ludwig von Mises, Human Action (1949, p.572).

The reason why our government's efforts to get us out of the current mess are doomed to failure is very simple. They are going to use "further credit expansion" as a way of trying to avoid a collapse. Like most bureaucrats and politicians, they do not want the crisis to come "sooner as a result of a voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion." Therefore, they will promote policies which will ensure that we get the crisis "...later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved."

That "currency system" is the fiat currency system in which the dollar is, at least for now, the reserve currency. For now, we are in a period of dollar strength. For now, but only temporarily, parking one's cash in dollar-denominated assets makes a certain amount of sense. Over the long haul, owning gold makes the most amount of sense. We are already seeing people around the entire world rush to acquire gold because it, alone, has stood the test of time as the sovereign world currency. Gold is money.

I will leave you with the words of yet another outside observer, General Charles de Gaulle, a man who understood the role of gold as money. He once gave a speech calling for the world to return to a monetary system backed by gold. The mainstream press mocked him for it. However, his words are just as true today as when he uttered them. I predict that history will mock the mockers.

"What the United States owes to foreign countries it pays – at least in part – with Dollars that it can simply issue if it chooses to...This unilateral facility contributes to the gradual disappearance of the idea that the Dollar is an impartial and international trade medium, whereas it is in fact a credit instrument reserved for one state only....[Gold] does not change in nature. [Gold] can be made either into bars, ingots, or coins...has no nationality [and] is considered, in all places and at all times, the immutable and fiduciary value par excellence."

Charles de Gaulle, February, 1965.




Fred Thompson's Satirical Look
at our government's 'SOLUTION'


.

.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RKc4XFK0iVY




A government big enough to give you everything you want,
is big enough to take away everything you have.'

~Thomas Jefferson~





General Conference
October 2008



Elder L. Tom Perry

Newspapers are filled with reports of the current housing crisis. We have been encouraged at almost every general conference of the Church I can remember not to live beyond our means. Our income should determine the kind of housing we can afford, not the neighbor’s big home across the street.

President Heber J. Grant once said: “From my earliest recollections, from the days of Brigham Young until now, I have listened to men standing in the pulpit … urging the people not to run into debt; and I believe that the great majority of all our troubles today is caused through the failure to carry out that counsel” (in Conference Report, Oct. 1921, 3).

One of the better ways to simplify our lives is to follow the counsel we have so often received to live within our income, stay out of debt, and save for a rainy day.

~~~~

President Thomas S. Monson

We urge all Latter-day Saints to be prudent in their planning, to be conservative in their living, and to avoid excessive or unnecessary debt.




Thursday, January 15, 2009

- Expanding Our Preparedness Options at Home




The following information offers fascinating ideas and alternatives for city dwellers. More and more the sounds of chickens and goats are floating on the urban air . . .and if rabbits made more noise the sound in many cities would be deafening!





City Folk Flock To Raise

Small Livestock At Home


Urban chickens on Brad's sun porch.


January 10, 2009 ·
If you picked up a carton of eggs at the store this week, they probably set you back about $1 or $1.50. The organic, cage-free kind costs more like $3. But some urban and suburbanites are skipping the store entirely when it comes to things like eggs and honey and turning instead to their own backyards.

Whether from tighter food budgets or local-eating ideals, more and more people are petitioning their cities to allow small animal husbandry.

City dwellers are accustomed to being awakened at night by the occasional siren or the roar of a low-flying jet. But the nocturnal disturbances in a Denver neighborhood have a slightly more agrarian feel.

Cutting-Edge 'Locavores'

A rooster belts out a cry from one of the yards, where the homeowners also keep a pair of geese in a converted sun porch. What they don't have, however, are any permits for their minor menagerie. Denver does allow chickens for an annual fee. Roosters, though, are entirely outlawed.

So it's understandable that the homeowner, Brad, doesn't want his last name used.

Many of the folks pushing for urban livestock ordinances do so because of trendy modern ideas about sustainability and local food. They're known as "locavores."

Brad says he simply loves chickens.

He says he had them as a boy in the countryside and just kept on raising them even after moving to Los Angeles as a teenager.

"So I was walking around L.A. streets with a Rhode Island Red and people would say, 'Whoa, my god that's a beautiful bird! What is it?' 'Oh, it's a chicken.' 'A chicken?!' You know, city folks, never seen 'em before," Brad says.

That seems to be changing. Forget growing your own vegetables — cutting-edge locavores are now pushing backyard honey, eggs and milk. Researchers with the American Planning Association say that in the past six months they've fielded more questions about livestock ordinances than almost any other topic.

Chickens As Rock Stars

Colorado zoning consultant Christopher Duerksen is trying to simplify some of the answers. He's putting together a model sustainability code for cities trying to green up their rules.

Asked how city planners tend to react when they hear the word "chicken," Duerksen quips: "They tend to squawk. I think most planners, like most people, don't think of urban areas as food producing areas, but that's changing with the cost of food and questions about the health of food. And so we're seeing a real change in mindset among urban planners."

This means residents can now keep bees in Denver or raise a mini-goat in Seattle. But the real rock stars of this movement are chickens.

Urban livestock researcher Jennifer Blecha says that in recent years a dozen or more cities annually have joined the pro-chicken flock. And she says chicken advocates are starting to get more organized.

"When I over the last year or two have done presentations at various conferences on urban agriculture," Blecha says,"a swarm of people comes afterward and says, 'I'm from Cleveland and we need to get our regulations changed, can you please help?' 'Oh, we're from here and we're trying to get our regulations changed, could you give me some advice?'"

Some municipalities have bucked the agrarian trend. Just north of Denver, the planning board for the city of Longmont, Colo., recently gave the thumbs-down to a chicken ordinance. According to Jon Van Bentham, the board chairman, concerns ranged from unsightly chicken-coop construction to noise and smell, to slightly more dire topics.

"Avian flu came up," Van Bentham says. "Again, that's maybe kind of a nightmare scenario, but that's one of the places where folks are concerned that it comes from."

But backyard farmers seem to have one ace in the hole for answering any local objections: bribery. Plenty of Brad's eggs, for example, end up on his neighbors' breakfast plates.

"I ask them every now and then if it's bothering them and they say, 'Oh no, it doesn't bother us at all and besides, you wouldn't mess with the one that feeds ya," Brad says.

For the record, no eggs — goose, chicken or otherwise — changed hands in the reporting of this story.

~~~~

Comparing the Five Best Backyard Animals
by Mother Earth News

~~~~

Backyard Chickens





Moses 5:1

Adam began to till the earth, and to have dominion over all the beasts of the field, and to eat his bread by the sweat of his brow, as I the Lord had commanded him. And Eve, also, his wife, did labor with him.






Look around the following Garden Helper website,
they have a number of helpful tools for gardeners old and new

~~~~

http://www.thegardenhelper.com/gardenerindex.html

Gardening Guides From the Garden Helper

[ The Garden Helper][ Gardening Basics][ "How to" Guides]
[ Glossary of Terms][ Garden Encyclopedia][USDA Zones]




From AMISHLAND SEEDS

http://www.amishlandseeds.com/index.htm

Here's a peek into what can happen to even a seasoned, experienced gardener. This information comes from the website of a woman who grows and sells the seeds of heirloom and rare varieties of fruits and vegetables.

I'll just leave it at that so you can read her telling of the story . . .

~~~~

2008 was a year of extremes for me and my gardens. I had gardening disasters so awful that I cried. But the"big guy upstairs" threw them at me in such a way that they would have actually been funny if they hadn't made me lose so many seeds.

Imagine the cruel irony of the wild bunnies who chose my rare colored carrot patch to make their nests when they had acres of plant life to choose from. I found to my dismay, that the rabbits had carefully pulled up all my lovely carrots and neatly stacked them to one side like little Lincoln Logs. Then they made their cushy fur lined nests for their little ones. Who knows why they didn't even eat the multi-colored carrots and just left them to dry up in the sun! It takes 2 years to get carrot seeds as they are a biennial so I lost 2 years of growing time as this was the second year when they would have flowered and set seed. Talk about heartbroken. l lost the last of my super rare "Purple Pakistani Carrots," the purple-red ones called "Kintocki," and most of my exclusive pink "Deshi Kashmiri Carrots" among others. So you will have a much more limited selection of carrot colors in the future. But then again, the rabbits choosing a carrot patch just for perfect little baby bunny nests was just so "Beatrix Potter-esque," you know?

Then there was the "mouse harvest hoedown" in my cellar. I was drying out the entire pepper harvest. Since I am always working against the clock with wet fruits like tomatoes, I usually leave the peppers for last in seed saving as the pods can be dried out and still continue to be very viable. The room off my porch just seemed too damp for that last push in drying and I took them out of the multi mouse-trapped area there to the stone basement of my 1890's house. I only left them there that one fateful night. I was exhausted and promised myself I would bait new traps the next day. Well, the mice (and possibly a chipmunk or two) certainly had a glorious high 'ole time that evening! The trays were dumped over every which way but loose and every sweet pepper seed was eaten! I mean every blessed seed!! They must have stopped dead in their tracks when they got to the "Datil chile peppers." Datils are notoriously hot and I am praying that those rodents suffered severe heartburn at the very least. (actually I was hoping for much worse). Now you know why you have a very limited selection of pepper seeds for 2009.

All of my heirloom pole beans suffered a fate worse than death. They were mercilessly crushed by a 200+ year old aged maple that was blown down in a terrible wind storm. It took out most of the fence, various rare plants. And every single one of my pole beans was smashed to smithereens. This is the historic Pennsylvnia German museum demonstration garden I donate appropriate heirloom seeds to. I also help tend it and give historic gardening tours. I grow many of my rarest Amish, Mennonite and PA Dutch heirlooms in this 4 square, raised bed garden. As it was very late in the season, I had already harvested the bush beans, tomatoes, cukes and peppers. And, wonder of wonders, the kales, kohlrabis and cabbages that were left to sprout seeds (they are biennials) next year were not harmed. Thank goodness for my great garden buddy, Cliff in Idaho, who came to my rescue. He always grows out duplicates of my pole beans in larger quantities. Without his help I wouldn't be able to offer any pole bean seeds as I never get large enough amounts for selling to you on my own. Be sure to read up on all the great heirloom and historic bean selections I will be offering this year, with Cliff's dedicated assistance.

And last but not least, my eggplant "toxic meltdown moment." I did maybe the stupidest thing I have ever done with my seeds. Chalk it up to exhaustion. I was drying the remaining eggplant fruits and seeds, and they certainly couldn't go in my basement (due to the mouse "square dance action" down there). I have 2 new kittens, Duke and Earl. Due to the kittens I couldn't leave them out to dry on any tables in my house either. I already had my "kitten katastrophe" with some tomato seeds earlier. (be sure to read my "Kitten Katastrophe Tomato Duo" on the Red Tomato Page). So I hid the trays in the oven. Yep, you guessed it, I turned on the oven to 400 degrees to bake, and the next thing I know the toxic chemical fumes and smoke were overwhelming us. The melted plastic PVC plant growing trays were a science experiment to say the least. I had stalagtites of plastic. I grabbed the gooey racks and threw the eggplant fruit and seed encrusted melting mess out the door. It was 20 degrees out, I figured the cold would freeze the plastic and make it easy to remove. Wrong! 3 days later I am still trying to salvage my oven racks. So there goes the last of the "Aubergine de Burkina Faso" eggplant (luckily for you I had saved some earlier seeds of that) and also all of the super rare "Gbogname African Eggplant" (Solanum macrocarpon) seeds.

On a lighter note, I had a good season with my tomatoes even though it was a late spring and a colder than normal summer. We also had a severe drought. But when you have a drought you have no fungal disease problems and very few insects. It was my best year ever for keeping up with the slug population! Wahoo!! I was quite pleased with the productivity of several of my super rare solanums and eggplants. (the ones I didn't later melt). The Capucijners Blue Pod Peas did very well this cool spring, just the weather they like. . . .




Grandpa

My Post Script

One important aspect of heirloom and non-hybrid plants is the crucial ability of their seeds to grow 'true' to the characteristics of its parent plant so you can depend on them and know what to expect from the new crop; with hybrid plants you don't have that repeatable guarantee (please note, there's a difference between cross-breeding plants and hybridizing plants).

As stated clearly online, "
Hybrid seed cannot be saved, as the seed from the first generation of hybrid plants does not reliably produce true copies, therefore, new seed must be purchased for each planting."

The need to grow heirloom plants and save back seeds for the next growing season is something many know little about and even fewer know how to do. If you look through some of the pages on the above
AMISHLAND SEEDS you will find helpful instructions on how to save seeds for the future growing season. Being able to grow gardens year after year in a sustainable manner is most definitely an important component of Being Prepared!

The web has all but unlimited resources when it comes to gardening instruction and small animal husbandry. There are forums filled with people willing to share information and answer questions.

Learn as much as you can. Learn so you can teach and bless others within your circle of influence. As many of you already know, whenever you prepare to teach someone else you wind up learning as much, and usually more, than the people you've prepared to teach!

You may be unaware of who's being influenced by what you do, as was the case with my grandpa. He was a hard working farmer and in the evening, after chores were done and dinner was over, he would sit in his chair reading. As a young girl I would stand behind him putting pink curlers in his hair and looking over his shoulder as he
read Rodale's Organic Farm and Garden; his example continues to influence my choices even all these decades later.

There is a wonderful old proverb, No man can row his brother to the other side of the river without also arriving there himself. So true!



Grandpa's Girl


President Spencer W. Kimball


“I remember when the sisters used to say, ‘Well, but we could buy it at the store a lot cheaper than we can put it up.’ But that isn’t quite the answer, is it?. . . Because there will come a time when there isn’t any store.(emphasis added)

April 1974 Welfare Session





Monday, January 12, 2009

- Power of the Priesthood - Our literal shield




Priesthood Power
Our Literal Shield



Much on this blog deals with physical preparedness but overarching it all is the primary focus of SPIRITUAL preparedness; without being spiritually prepared the rest is, ultimately, an exercise in futility.

One would hope that all who come here are tucked away cozy and secure with abundant supplies put aside to bless their family, friends and neighbors, ready to face the future's growing uncertainty.

However, . . .

Many of us are not where we want to be with our physical supplies - for a variety of reasons - but that does NOT preclude us from being where we need to be spiritually. As a matter of fact, the fewer physical/financial resources available to us the more we must depend on the Spirit to make up the difference.

It has been repeatedly demonstrated that we can be guided and inspired in how to "be prepared". This effort needs to be a partnership with the Spirit and the focus of fervent prayer. Miracles can and do happen, in my own life as well as the lives of others who have shared their stories and awe with me.

How many times recently have we been cautioned that we live in 'perilous times'? (I went to lds.org and did a search just in the Ensign for the phrase 'perilous times' and it brought up 90 hits).

By catching glimpses of the recent machinations of the world's power brokers it has become increasingly evident, even to the least attentive, that 'conspiring men' do not have our best interests in mind!

That being said, let's look at the following scripture:

D&C 88:67
And if your eye be single to my glory, your whole bodies shall be filled with light, and there shall be no darkness in you; and that body which is filled with light comprehendeth all things. (emphasis added)

If there were ever a time when we needed to comprehend all things I believe it is now!

Elder Bruce R. McConkie:

We do not say that all of the Saints will be spared and saved from the coming day of desolation. But we do say that there is no promise of safety and no promise of security except for those who love the Lord and who are seeking to do all that he commands.

It may be, for instance, that nothing except the power of faith and the authority of the priesthood can save individuals and congregations from the atomic holocausts that surely shall be.

And so we raise the warning voice and say: Take heed; prepare; watch and be ready. There is no security in any course except the course of obedience and conformity and righteousness.

"Stand Independent above All Other Creatures," Ensign, May 1979

Elder McConkie's father-in-law, President Joseph Fielding Smith, is quoted as having said of Elder McConkie that he was the greatest theologian of his generation in the Church. It says a lot about this frequently dismissed and sometimes denigrated man to have his father-in-law (who also happened to be President of the Church!) speak so highly of him.

It would appear that Elder McConkie was one of those Black and White thinkers; there seemed to be no gray for him. Couple that with his background in law and it's clear that this set the tone for what he wrote and said.

Now, referring to the above quote, "atomic holocausts that surely shall be" I want to address Elder McConkie's use of the word SHALL. Given his law training his use of the word 'shall' carries a stronger meaning than many of us might attach to it. Here's what I found online:

. . .the meaning of 'shall' in a legal context is different, usually it expresses the meaning of must (obligation)
To me that removes any wiggle room from the interpretation of his intent when he made that statement. And, just in case you thought that comment was an isolated event, he made yet another General Conference reference to atomic bombs in April 1982 when he said:

Truly, there is power in the priesthood--power to do all things!
If the world itself was created by the power of the priesthood, surely that same power can move mountains and control the elements.
If one-third of the host of heaven were cast down to earth by the power of the priesthood, surely that same power can put at defiance the armies of nations or stay the fall of atomic bombs.

"The Doctrine of the Priesthood" Ensign, May 1982

These comments indicate to me that this was something he gave considerable thought to since he addressed it twice in General Conference. What I particularly appreciate about these two quotes is that in 1979 he states what he sees coming and what we can do about it and then again in 1982 he clearly states what we can do about it and who is to do it.

Brothers, we're counting on you!



D&C 123:17
Therefore, dearly beloved brethren, let us cheerfully do all things that lie in our power; and then may we stand still, with the utmost assurance, to see the salvation of God, and for his arm to be revealed.



Tuesday, January 6, 2009

- All I can say is WOW!



Look what I found in my inbox today! WOW!!






In our meetings at the end of 2008 we had a discussion on the second coming. I took part in a lesson in Relief Society. In that lesson we talked about many things, one of which was that we are waiting for the prophecies of Joel to be fulfilled wherein the sun would be darkened and the moon turned to blood. We discussed what that might look like when it happens. I wasn’t sure, but I thought that I had learned something regarding that several years ago, so I went home and found President Hinckley’s talk entitled “Living in the Fullness of Times” which said that this prophecy, along with the prophecy of Malachi, has been fulfilled. Shortly after 9/11, President Hinckley said, “The vision of Joel has been fulfilled wherein he declared, “And I will shew wonders in the heavens and in the earth, blood, and fire, and pillars of smoke. The sun shall be turned into darkness, and the moon into blood, before the great and the terrible day of the Lord come… ”(Joel 2:28–32).”

I wonder if the twin towers were the pillars of smoke spoken of in Joel’s prophecy, or whether the Gulf War may have fulfilled these or other prophecies...I do not know. However, knowing that the signs mentioned in the Prophecies of Joel were fulfilled at least seven years ago, makes me wonder where we are in time and how much longer we will have in order to prepare for the further signs prophesied by His prophets.

Elder Eyring in conference in 1998 and again in the January 2009, Ensign said, “Because the Lord is kind, He calls servants to warn people of danger. That call to warn is made harder and more important by the fact that the warnings of most worth are about dangers that people don’t yet think are real…Here is the charge given to each of the members of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints: “Behold, I sent you out to testify and warn the people, and it becometh every man who hath been warned to warn his neighbor…It’s easy to say, “The time isn’t right.” But there is danger in procrastination.” (D&C 88:81)

In that spirit, I would like to share with you (my neighbors) that I know that we are living in the fullness of times and that the Lord has “lovingly commanded us to prepare every needful thing.” (D&C 109)

Although we are told that we are in the times “when men’s hearts shall fail them,” I do not wish to cause fear with my remarks. I know that we can find comfort and hope for these times in the temple. Vaughn J. Featherstone said, “Before the Savior comes the world will darken. Then will come a period of time where even the elect will lose hope if they do not come to the temples…”



“Our garments worn as instructed will clothe us in a manner as protective as temple walls. The covenants and ordinances will fill us with faith as a living fire. In a day of desolating sickness, scorched earth, barren wastes, sickening plagues, disease, destruction, and death, we as a people will rest in the shade of trees, we will drink from the cooling fountains. We will abide in places of refuge from the storm…"

Pres. Kimball in his book, ["Faith Precedes the Miracle"] wrote, “Do we lose faith, do we lose patience, do we lose hope, do we get weary in waiting, because the day is long and the event delayed? It is difficult to be prepared for an event so long delayed. Many have found it too difficult and they slumber without due preparation. Hundreds of thousands of us today are in this position. Confidence has been dulled and patience worn thin. It is so hard to wait and be prepared always. But we cannot allow ourselves to slumber.

“I believe that the Ten Virgins represent the people of the Church of Jesus Christ and not the rank and file of the world. All of the virgins, wise and foolish, had accepted the invitation to the wedding supper; they had knowledge of the program and had been warned of the important day to come. They were not the gentiles or the heathens or the pagans, nor were they necessarily corrupt and reprobate, but they were knowing people who were foolishly unprepared for the vital happenings that were to affect their eternal lives. They had the saving, exalting gospel, but it had not been made the center of their lives. They knew the way but gave only a small measure of loyalty and devotion. I ask you: What value is a car without an engine, a cup without water, a table without food, a lamp without oil? The foolish asked the others to share their oil, but spiritual and temporal preparedness cannot be shared in an instant. The wise had to go; else the bridegroom would have gone unwelcomed. They needed all their oil for themselves; they could not save the foolish. The responsibility was each for himself. This was not selfishness or unkindness.

“The foolish virgins were not averse to buying oil. They knew they should have oil. They merely procrastinated, not knowing when the bridegroom would come. The day of the marriage feast approaches. The coming of the Lord is nigh. And there are many among us who are not ready for the great and glorious event.”

Recently I heard a stake president bear his testimony in his ward. He said that the most important message he was bringing back from regional conference was that we must "Get Our Houses in Order." He said that at the regional leadership conference a general authority referenced President Hinckley's talk from ten years ago regarding Pharoah's Dream and the stormy weather ahead, and the need to have our houses in order. Then the apostle asked them how many of the leadership in attendance now wished that they had hearkened to his message? Our various leaders are increasingly referencing this talk regarding Pharoah’s Dream, I believe because it may be prophetic for our day.

The first time President Hinckley mentioned Pharoah’s dream was in 1998 when he said, “I wish to speak to you about temporal matters. As a backdrop for what I wish to say, I read to you a few verses from the 41st chapter of Genesis where Pharaoh, the ruler of Egypt, dreamed dreams which greatly troubled him...‘And I saw in my dream…seven ears came up in one stalk, full and good: And, behold, seven ears, withered, thin, and blasted with the east wind, sprung up after them.’ Then Joseph’s interpretation, ’Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine. . . And God will shortly bring it to pass.’ (Gen. 41:20, 26, 30, 32). Now, brethren, I want to make it very clear that I am not prophesying, that I am not predicting years of famine in the future. But I am suggesting that the time has come to get our houses in order…There is a portent of stormy weather ahead to which we had better give heed...That’s all I have to say about it, but I wish to say it with all the emphasis of which I am capable.”

A portent means something of prophetic or ominous significance. President Hinckley also spoke of the fragile economy, how people are living off of their borrowings instead of earnings and how paying interest is financial bondage. He said that he hoped that there wouldn’t be a depression…twice, but then said he is concerned about all the debt our members are carrying. He talked about how Elder Faust paid off his mortgage quickly, and how happy that has made him.



President Hinckley again referenced Pharoah’s dream just weeks after the 9/11 terrorist attack in his talk, “The Times In Which We Live.” Pres. Hinckley said, “The economy is particularly vulnerable. We have been counseled again and again concerning self-reliance, concerning debt, concerning thrift. So many of our people are heavily in debt for things that are not entirely necessary.” Then he talked about getting a modest home and paying it off as quickly as possible. He said, “We cannot provide against every contingency. But we can provide against many contingencies. Let the present situation remind us that this we should do. As we have been continuously counseled for more than 60 years, let us have some food set aside that would sustain us for a time in case of need…” He then referenced Pharoah’s dream when he said, “I do not know what the future holds. I do not wish to sound negative, but I wish to remind you of the warnings of scripture and the teachings of the prophets which we have had constantly before us. I cannot forget the great lesson of Pharaoh’s dream of the fat and lean kine and of the full and withered stalks of corn. I cannot dismiss from my mind the grim warnings of the Lord as set forth in the 24th chapter of Matthew. I am familiar, as are you, with the declarations of modern revelation that the time will come when the earth will be cleansed and there will be indescribable distress, with weeping and mourning and lamentation (see D&C 112:24). Now, I do not wish to be an alarmist. I do not wish to be a prophet of doom.”

Said President Hinckley in October Conference in 2005, “What (calamities) we have experienced in the past was all foretold, and the end is not yet. Just as there have been calamities in the past, we expect more in the future. What do we do? Someone has said it was not raining when Noah built the ark. But he built it, and the rains came…We can heed warnings…We are told by seismologists that the Salt Lake Valley is a potential earthquake zone…We have built grain storage and storehouses and stocked them with the necessities of life in the event of a disaster. But the best storehouse is the family storeroom. In words of revelation the Lord has said, “Organize yourselves; prepare every needful thing” (D&C 109:8 ). Our people for three-quarters of a century have been counseled and encouraged to make such preparation as will assure survival should a calamity come. We can set aside some water, basic food, medicine, and clothing to keep us warm. We ought to have a little money laid aside in case of a rainy day…” This talk was given exactly seven years from the date that President Hinckley first gave (as I call it) his “seven years of plenty talk.” In it he again mentioned the dream of Pharaoh when he said, “Let us never lose sight of the dream of Pharaoh concerning the fat cattle and the lean, the full ears of corn and the blasted ears, the meaning of which was interpreted by Joseph to indicate years of plenty and years of scarcity.”

In last June’s Ensign, President Eyring said, “In our own time we have been warned with counsel on where to find safety...One of the keys to recognizing those warnings is that they are repeated.” President Hinckley has mentioned Pharoah’s dream three times in the past ten years.

If we started counting from 1998 and likened our day to what happened in Joseph's time, we would find ourselves in the fourth of the lean years. It is interesting to note what was happening in Egypt during that time. In Genesis 47:15 it says, “And when money failed in the land of Egypt, and in the land of Canaan, all the Egyptians came unto Joseph, and said, Give us bread for why should we die in thy presence? for the money faileth.” As their money failed they then gave the government their remaining assets including their valuables, homes and lands in exchange for food and shelter. Around the end of the fourth year the people were gathered into cities and became slaves to the government.

We can see that financially we are in lean years and most agree that it will take years to come out of this recession…but could we experience an actual famine of food? I cannot say, although famines are prophesied for the last days and indeed they are currently happening all over the world, i.e. recently there have been record breaking droughts in California, Texas, Argentina and Australia, flooding in Indonesia, China, the Midwest and Myanmar, fires all over the Western United States, locusts in Kazahkstan, Australia and India, grain fungus in Africa and the Gulf Countries, declining bees and increasing rats all over the world, bird flu, pig flu, cow diseases, volcanic ash that has made some rich areas of the world sterile, salmonella and other disease outbreaks in our produce and other problems which effect our food supply such as food transportation, increased prices for animal feed, fertilizers and seed, etc. China, the Gulf countries and other wealthy countries are buying up prime farm land all over the world. With high prices for fertilizer and seed and current low prices for their farm produce, dwindling crop insurance availability, as well as tightening credit by banks, many farmers may be struggling to come up with the money to put in their crops come spring.


Even though we had an abundant harvest last year in the US, over the past few years the world has eaten more food than it has produced. The world food reserve became very low and the United States’ food reserve was completely gone for a time. According to the USDA global food projections for 2008 there was only a 2.6 percent margin between production and consumption of food last year. This means that the world food supply is very vulnerable going forward. Also, in 2008 the last of the US government owned grain was sold. The United States Government no longer has a supply of food in case of emergency.

Fortunately, that doesn’t matter to us in the church because the church has grains enough and to spare…at least that is what most of us are banking on. That is not what our leaders say however, from President Faust we hear: "Every father and mother are the family's storekeepers. They should store whatever their own family would like to have in the case of an emergency…[and] God will sustain us through our trials."

A friend in Northern Utah told me that he was recently called as the ward employment specialist in his ward. When he was called there were two chronically unemployed men in his ward, two weeks later there were 11 families without work. When I went visiting teaching a month or two ago a brother shared that he had just been let go that day, his neighbor said that his small construction company was letting go 11 workers the next day. They also talked about the dwindling state of their 401K funds and how it would no longer sustain them for long.

Can the church feed us all? During the 1980 recession Bishop Victor L. Brown told us, “Within the last twelve months, the distribution of fast offerings and commodities by the bishops has been alarming. At the present rate of demand, the Church resources will be almost expended in a short time...It would appear that in altogether too many cases the teachings about preparedness have been either misunderstood or knowingly rejected. Many of our members appear to feel that when difficulty comes, the Church will come to their aid, even when they could have prepared themselves had their priorities been appropriate…the welfare program rests on the basic principle of personal and family preparedness, not on Church preparedness. We are concerned that because the Church program includes production projects, canneries, bishops’ storehouses, Deseret Industries, and other visible activities, our people are mistakenly led to believe these things replace the need for them to provide for themselves. This simply is not so…It is the opinion of many that more difficult times lie ahead. We are deeply concerned about the welfare of our people and recognize the potential privation and suffering that will exist if each person and family does not accept the word of the Lord when he says, “Prepare every needful thing” (D&C 88:119) and “It must needs be done in mine own way” (D&C 104:16).” It is silly to believe that the church can provide for all of us…in order to feed the population of Utah survival rations for a year it could take close to a billion pounds of grains/beans.

Calamities can happen to us all…even the saintliest of Latter Day Saints. President Ezra Taft Benson told of his experiences with the righteous saints in war torn Europe, “I shall never forget the Saints of Hamburg who appeared on the verge of collapse from starvation, or their small children whom I invited to come to the stand as we emptied our pockets of edibles. Most had never seen these items before because of the wartime conditions…We saw the terrible physical and social side effects of hunger and malnutrition…I cannot forget the French Saints who, unable to obtain bread, used potato peelings for the emblems of the sacrament…”

“Too often we bask in our comfortable complacency and rationalize that the ravages of war, economic disaster, famine, and earthquake cannot happen here. Those who believe this are either not acquainted with the revelations of the Lord, or they do not believe them. Those who smugly think these calamities will not happen, that they somehow will be set aside because of the righteousness of the Saints, are deceived and will rue the day they harbored such a delusion.”

The First Presidency told us in, “The Family: A Proclamation to the World”, “By divine design, fathers are responsible to provide the necessities of life and protection for their families.” Over the years we have been told repeatedly that personal and family preparedness is the responsibility of the members, not the church.

So what is expected of us? First is to gather a three-month supply of foods that we normally eat. Then we should gather a longer-term supply. What is meant by “longer-term” is left between us and the Lord. Brigham Young encouraged the saints in his time to store seven years worth of provisions, then it progressively declined over the decades to just one year of provisions. This counsel stayed the same for over 70 years. I have read that some Christian denominations plan on storing food to last the whole of the seven years of tribulation. Most in our church would agree that that is “overkill” but we need to be close enough to the spirit to discern how much long-term storage the Lord would have us store for our families and others.

According to the food calculator on provident living an LDS family of 6 needs 300 pounds of grains and 60 pounds of beans and other legumes per person to stay alive for one year...that means they would need 2,160 lbs. of food.

The church also recommends that, "You…add other items to your longer-term storage such as sugar, nonfat dry milk, salt, baking soda, and cooking oil…(and) foods containing Vitamin C and other essential nutrients."

A year's supply of food at the cannery costs $284 (for 12 “starter kits”…The starter kit is a one month supply of food for one person. Each box contains: 2 cans wheat, 2 cans rice, 1 can oatmeal and 1 can of beans.) For a family of six this year supply would have 72 cases and would cost $1,706 dollars.



A lot of people think if the government and church can’t feed their family they can turn to their neighbors for food. This scenario is unlikely because even if your neighbor has a year supply of food on hand, a meal’s ration of food is less than a cup per meal. (2/5 C Beans, 2 cups grains per day.) Since in many wards there are only a few families with such supplies it is unlikely that they will be able to feed their extended family members and their children…let alone their friends, ward members, neighbors, work associates and all of the many other people that say to them, “We know where to come when things get bad.” In other words, if your neighbor feeding you and your children is your plan, you need another plan!

Many believe that it is pointless to store food since it would be gone so quickly…to them it seems better to continue on and use their money to “eat, drink and be merry” as much as they can, while they can. The reason I would give for why we should prepare is probably different than what most others would say. I believe we should prepare because the Lord has lovingly commanded us to do so. Being obedient to the Lord may be more important than we think. This commandment to prepare may be one of those irrevocable laws upon which our future blessings are predicated. A few years ago, Elder McMullin told us to, “Be faithful. Unencumber your life. Lay up in store…As we do our very best (he said), we can be confident that "the barrel of meal shall not waste, neither shall the cruse of oil fail." We shall enjoy greater wisdom, security, peace of mind, and personal well-being. We shall be prepared, and because we are prepared, we "shall not fear."” Those are blessings worth preparing for!

Some people buy fire, flood, theft, disaster, electronic, appliance, home warranty and car insurance every year. Food or as some people call it “famine insurance” may be an important insurance to add to your list. “Famine insurance” or food may not always be easily available. There is a saying that goes something like this, “I would rather prepare five years too early, than five minutes too late.” It only takes hours to clean out grocery store’s shelves when disasters are imminent. Most of us do not live near areas of many orchards, commercial gardens, milk farms, ranches with many thousands of cattle or food crops. Many must travel miles to get to the nearest grocery store. As communities we are very vulnerable if for any reason our food supply was stopped for more than a few days. If you are ready to start preparing it is important to make your cannery appointments now, since at times last year it was very difficult to get an appointment at most LDS canneries and in many areas at times there was little cannery food available to can.

Our prophet, President Thomas S. Monson has said, "Many more people could ride out the storm-tossed waves in their economic lives if they had their year's supply of food…and were debt-free. Today we find that many have followed this counsel in reverse: they have at least a year's supply of debt and are food-free."

Heber C. Kimball in 1856 talking to the people of the mountain west said, "Yes, we think we are secure here in the chambers of these everlasting hills ... but I want to say to you, my brethren, the time is coming when we will be mixed up in these now peaceful valleys to that extent that it will be difficult to tell the face of a Saint from the face of an enemy against the people of God. Then is the time to look out for the great sieve, for there will be a great sifting time, and many will fall. For I say unto you there is a test, a Test, a TEST coming." In April 2004, Elder Dallin H. Oaks said, “Four matters are indisputable to Latter-day Saints:
(1) The Savior will return to the earth in power and great glory to reign personally during a millennium of righteousness and peace.

(2) At the time of His coming there will be a destruction of the wicked and a resurrection of the righteous.

(3) No one knows the time of His coming, but

(4) the faithful are taught to study the signs of it and to be prepared for it.” He goes on to say, “We are living in the prophesied time when peace shall be taken from the earth (D&C 1:35), when all things shall be in commotion and men’s hearts shall fail them (D&C 88:91).”

Elder Eyring spoke in 2005 and said, “The giant earthquake, and the tsunamis it sent crashing into the coasts around the Indian Ocean, is just the beginning and a part of what is to come, terrible as it was…and all things shall be in commotion; and surely, men’s hearts shall fail them; for fear shall come upon all people. (D&C 88: 88-91) As the challenges around us increase, we must commit to do more to qualify for the companionship of the Holy Ghost.”

Said Elder Boyd K. Packer in 2005, "If 9/11 was a wake-up call, then the earthquake and tsunami in Southeast Asia, was a kick out of bed. We need to pay attention to the signs of the times."

In the June 2008 Ensign, President Eyring told us, “Another fallacy is to believe that the choice to accept or not accept the counsel of prophets is no more than deciding whether to accept good advice and gain its benefits or to stay where we are. But the choice not to take prophetic counsel changes the very ground upon which we stand. That ground becomes more dangerous. The failure to take prophetic counsel lessens our power to take inspired counsel in the future. The best time to have decided to help Noah build the ark was the first time he asked. Each time he asked after that, each failure to respond would have lessened sensitivity to the Spirit. And so each time his request would have seemed more foolish, until the rain came. And then it was too late.”

How foolish do people who have stored a three-month supply of food and a longer-term supply for their families and others seem to you? Pres. Benson said “The revelation to produce and store food may be as essential to our temporal welfare today as boarding the ark was to the people in the days of Noah.”



Every prophet (until President Monson) over the last 70 years has talked about having the Church members get a bare minimum of at least one year’s supply of basic food items. It is interesting that this has recently changed…the church now has put particular emphasis on gaining a three-month supply of foods your family normally eats. This is interesting to me because twelve weeks is generally the accepted amount of time experts say most families will need to “shelter-in-place” in case of pandemic in their area. At the government pandemic flu site it says, “In an affected community, at least two pandemic disease waves (about 6-8 weeks each) are likely over several months.” Experts agree that it is only a matter of time before the next pandemic hits.

The 1918 flu took one week to spread across the country. With today’s travel it will be a matter of hours. It would be well if we were prepared enough to be able to go directly home when the next pandemic hits. Quarantine conditions will quickly prevent further distribution of food to communities and stores for perhaps months at a time. My grandparents were children when the 1918 pandemic hit. During that pandemic many children including some of my ancestors were sent to live with their grandparents in the country.

This major change in what we should store occurred last year when a new pamphlet entitled, “All Is Safely Gathered In” was distributed. This pamphlet was first talked about by the Presiding Bishopric, then was handed out in February 2007 to the bishop’s to distribute to all the families in their wards, and later was included in the August 2007 Ensign. It would seem that they wanted all of us to read it.

The following letter is from this pamphlet…

Message from the First Presidency

Dear Brothers and Sisters:

Our Heavenly Father created this beautiful earth, with all its abundance, for our benefit and use. His purpose is to provide for our needs as we walk in faith and obedience. He has lovingly commanded us to "prepare every needful thing" (see D&C 109) so that, should adversity come, we may care for ourselves and our neighbors and support bishops as they care for others.

We encourage Church members worldwide to prepare for adversity in life by having a basic supply of food and water and some money in savings.

We ask that you be wise as you store food and water and build your savings. Do not go to extremes; it is not prudent, for example, to go into debt to establish your food storage all at once. With careful planning, you can, over time, establish a home storage supply and a financial reserve.

We realize that some of you may not have financial resources or space for such storage. Some of you may be prohibited by law from storing large amounts of food. We encourage you to store as much as circumstances allow.

May the Lord bless you in your home storage efforts.

Brother and Sisters, the Lord sent us down in this difficult dispensation for a purpose. President Benson told us, “For nearly 6,000 years, God has held you, most of you, in reserve to make your appearance in the final days before the second coming of the Lord.” He also said, “Make no mistake about it, you are a marked generation…There has never been more expected of the faithful in such a short period of time than there is of us.” “Never before on the face of this earth have the forces of evil and the forces of good been so well organized”…“The final outcome is certain—the forces of righteousness will finally win. But what remains to be seen is where each of us personally, now and in the future, will stand in this battle—and how tall will we stand?”…”While our generation will be comparable in wickedness to the days of Noah, when the Lord cleansed the earth by flood, there is a major difference this time: God has saved for the final inning some of His stronger and most valiant children, who will help bear off the kingdom triumphantly. …You are the generation that must be prepared to meet your God…"

I would like to read Bishop McMullin’s promises one last time, “As we do our very best, we can be confident that "the barrel of meal shall not waste, neither shall the cruse of oil fail." We shall enjoy greater wisdom, security, peace of mind, and personal well-being. We shall be prepared, and because we are prepared, we "shall not fear.”

The Lord has lovingly commanded us to prepare every needful thing. May the Lord watch over us, direct us, guide us and bless us with His miracles as we do our very best to do so…







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